CHAPTER 4 SIMULATIONS WITH SYNTHETIC DATA SET This chapter presents the simulation results of the monitoring approaches with the several types of experts, using the synthetic data set generated in the previous chapter 4.1 Linear Experts 4.1.1 Approach I: Offline Training Figure 4-1 shows the result of approach I simulation for a linear filter of order 10: each expert is a Wiener filter modeling one regime, and online change detection is performed. Figure 4-1Results: (a) Flow: desired in blue, predicted in red; (b) MSE criterion, full line is for expert 1, dotted line is for expert 2; (c) Winner; (d) Pressure. It is obvious on the flow graph (cropped: the actual values of the predicted flow peak out of the window!) that the data is not modeled well, as can be seen on also by 04 1- ,,1 Ii I , 02 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000