The Franklin Chronicle A LOCALLY OWNED NEWSPAPER December 21, 2007 Page 7 Peter Crowell Presents Weekly economic update for the week of December 17, 2007 Quote of the week "Success.isn't permanent, and failure isn't fatal." -Mike Ditka Inflation up 3.2%, retail sales up 1.2%. Some head-turning news from the Labor Department: in November, wholesale prices rose by the largest month-over-month amount since 1973, spurred by a 34.8% jump in gasoline prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 0.8% for the month, exceeding the 0.6% rise econo- mists had forecast. 1 Inflation is now ris- ing at an annual rate of 4.2% for 2007, far above the 2.6% inflation of 2006 and well above the target of the Federal Reserve.2 And now, the good news: the Commerce Department reported retail Usales up 1.2% for November, the biggest Advance since May. Sponsored by Pete Dollar has best week since June 2006 Crowell, CFP The biggest month-over-month CPI increase in two years certainly strength- ened the dollar. Last week, it gained nearly 1.5% against the euro and 1.6% versus the yen. Greenspan: risk of recession rising On National Public Radio last week, former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan was again asked about the odds of a recession. "It's too soon to say, but the odds are clearly rising," he remarked, adding that "we are getting close to stall speed." Indeed, economists widely expect GDP of 1.5% or lower in the fourth quarter. Mortgage rates above 6% again Rates on 30-year FRMs averaged 6.11% last week, up from 5.96%. Other rates also went north: 15-year FRMs averaged 5.78%, up from 5.65%; averages on 5-year ARMs went to 5.89% from 5.75%; and average rates on 1-year ARMs hit 5.50%, up from 5.46%. A rate cut, but a bad week The Fed cut the federal funds rate to 4.25% and the discount rate to 4.75% on Tuesday, but investors wanted-a deeper cut, and rising inflation dismayed Wall Street. The major indexes had their worst week since early November. % Change 1-Week 4-Week Y-T-D DJIA -2.14 +1.22 +7.03 NASDAQ -2.67 -0.08 +9.13 S&P 500 -2.50 +0.63 +3.50 (Source: CNNMoney.com, USAToday.com, 12/14/07) Riddle of the week The Department of Homeland Security advises all homes to have it. NASA includes it on every mission. It is waterproof, heat resistant and strong, and it bonds well. What is it? Read next week's update for the answer. Last week's riddle How can you hold onto both ends of a rope and tie a knot in the rope without letting go of either end? Answer: Cross your arms before grabbing onto each end of the rope. When you uncross your arms, there will be a knot in the rope. Peter Crowell is a Certified Financial Planner in Tallahassee and a property owner in Franklin County. Mail your question to PO. Box 590, Eastpoint, FL 32328, or e-mail to info@franklinchronicle.net. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue- chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the "NYSE") and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading con- lducted through two divisions-the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. These views are those of Peter Montoya Inc., and not the presenting Representative or the Representative's Broker/Dealer, and should not be construed as investment advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no represen- tation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance is historical and not indicative of future results. The market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This Week's Answer Cogno's Corner Answer to question #194 is: True. Even though air is invisible to our eyes, it is made of mol- ecules that have weight. At sea level; at room temperature (like the inside of your home) the air could weigh more than one kilogram per cubic meter! Imagine a big living room 5 meters long, 5 meters wide, and 3 meters tall. That room contains 75 cubic meters. So the air weighs 75 kilograms, or 165 pounds! ACROSS 1. Stooge after Curly 6. Baseball card fig. 10. Cut into boards 14. Raring to go 15. Xenia's state 16. Irish Rose lover 17. Business magazine's language? 20. Break a Commandment 21. Lana of Smallville 22. Soda bottle size 23. Punch-in time for many 24. Spinach is rich in it 26. Former airline's language? 32. Cuts and pastes 33. Ready to serve 34. Locomotive part 36. Palo 37. 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