Chapter 5 2.2.1 Price stabilisation Price instability is a major indicator of supply instability, and price stabilisation is a widely applied strategy to stabilise food supplies. Two main approaches to achieving price stability can be distinguished: 1) The direct approach, by setting official market prices, e.g. by a pan-seasonal pricing system or, more commonly, by a system of price guarantees with floor and ceiling prices (see also section 7.2 of Chapter 4); 2) The indirect approach, by stabilising prices through public sector market interventions. The second approach allows greater flexibility, and can, therefore, be considered as more market friendly. Nevertheless, both policy approaches operate according to the same basic principle whicn is: * the government purchases (usually through a parastatal marketing agency) food on thfe market and builds up food stocks when market supplies are abundant and the prices tend to fall below a fixed or desired level, * the government releases food onto the market (from stocks or imports) when supplies are limited and prices tend to rise above a fixed or desired level. Figure 5.4 shows the stylistic pattern of such a system with typical seasonal price variations and floor and ceiling prices (if the price were absolutely fixed as in the case of a pan- seasonal pricing regime, floor and ceiling prices would coincide, i.e. be the same). Fig. 5.4: Floor and ceiling prices and ideal price movements price Begin of harvesting season ---. .. -',-- Ceiling price S.... Market price 1 Floor price -i > time Purchases Sales Purchases time Periods and types of government market interventions actual market prices (with intervention when prices reach limits of guaranteed price range) counterfactual free market prices withouth intervention) In order to be effective in achieving its price stabilisation objectives, a system as described above requires a number of preconditions to be fulfilled: