Chapter 4 The negative effects on health and nutrition may be further compounded by the consequences of other adjustment policies, especially the real income decline which many poor households face under adjustment (see previous discussion). 3) Education policy If, under adjustment, the principles of cost recovery are applied to education, the real income effect on poor households will be the same as in the case of charges for health services. In general, this applies only at the secondary and tertiary educational levels, as the World Bank's policy explicitly excludes the introduction of charges for primary education. The policy of charging for higher level education may have rather longer-term negative effects on the welfare and food security of those households who refrain from sending their children to high school and forgo the chance of getting a qualified job with higher income at a later stage after graduation. Cuts in educational services may specifically affect female education, with negative implications for food security and nutrition, given the evidence of the importance of female education on child nutritional status. 4) Industrial sector adjustment The impact of industrial sector adjustment on food security is mainly indirect, through its employment effects in the short term and the growth effects in the medium and long term. 9. Assessing the Overall Impact of Adjustment Programmes on Food Security This review of the components of economic reform programmes and the analysis of their impact on the food economy and on food security has revealed the many linkages which exist among the various adjustment policies. These linkages apply to the objectives pursued, the instruments applied and their impacts on the factors determining food supply and demand. There are compounding and compensating effects, and, furthermore, substantial differences between the actual short- term effects, which have been rather negative in some cases, and the potential positive but uncertain long-term effects. A number of critical issues have been identified, and there is a wide range of potentially hazardous effects on those groups who were, from the outset, vulnerable to food insecurity, or on those who could become vulnerable during the reform process. Nevertheless, there is no inherent reason why macro-economic reform should be incompatible with food security. Box 4.8 shows how two Asian countries had quite different outcomes from the policy reform process. Much depends on the country-specific conditions, the characteristics of prevailing food deficits, on the policy package pursued and parameter changes induced, hence on the detailed way in which the broad objectives of reform are achieved. Therefore, valid conclusions on the overall impacts of adjustment programmes can only be drawn for country-specific cases, if at all. - 167 -