Chapter 4 Within the macro-meso-micro economic framework presented in figure 4.1, a reduction of public sector employment and wages has direct effects on the two elements labour market and household income. In general, it leads to an overall reduction of household income and, in consequence, of aggregate food demand, hence to a left-downward shift of the aggregate demand curve and an increase of the aggregate demand deficit (see par. 3 of Annex 1). What are the implications for the food security situation? In order to arrive at definite conclusions as to the impact on food security, the specific programme design and the particular circumstances of each individual country need to be taken into account. Generally it can be assumed that the effects of a wage cut are less severe than a reduction in public sector employment. In most countries, government workers are relatively well-off, and in spite of a wage cut they will remain well above the poverty line. There are, however, exceptions, for example, Uganda, where public sector wage levels have been so low that many urban civil servants were dependent on support from their rural relations. Such conditions are usually taken into account when adjustment programmes are designed. Table 4.11 presents wage-related conditions of adjustment programmes in various African countries and the index of real minimum wages. In all but three countries, real minimum wages have fallen, in the case of Tanzania, by almost two thirds in six years. Table 4.11: Adjustment Programmes and Trends in Real Minimum Wages in Africa (selected countries), 1980 1986 Type of wage- Country specific Index of real minimum wages conditionality (1980 = 100) ofadjustment*) 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 C6te d'Ivoire a+b 92 94 89 85 84 79 Ghana a+b 105 86 80 80 133 150 Guinea a 91 87 79 71 64 Kenya a+b 89 89 81 72 71 75 Liberia a+b 93 88 85 84 85 83 Madagascar b 90 81 68 68 65 64 Malawi a+b 139 147 129 108 128 109 Niger a+b 87 78 80 74 75 77 Senegal a+b 99 91 94 84 78 74 Tanzania a+b 99 77 61 60 45 36 Togo a 84 83 76 78 80 77 Zaire a+b 76 64 91 163 164 112 Zambia a+b 88 93 88 81 75 *) Wage-specific conditionalities included: a: freezing, reduction or postponement of wage increases in the public sector; b: wage restraint or wage policy reforms in sectors other than the public sector. Sources: IMF and World Bank data, cited in FAO, Committe on World Food Security, "Effects of Stabilization and Structural Adjustment Programmes on Food Security, Feb. 1989 - 137-