Chapter 4 1 The Macroeconomy and Food Security 1.1 Introduction Up until this point in the manual, the emphasis has been on the food chain itself, how it links with the agricultural sector, and the relationship that individuals and households have with the food system as producers, consumers and distributors. These are essentially relationships at the micro level, whether the main element of these interactions is social, economic or political. This module introduces the macroeconomic relationships which can affect very fundamentally the constraints and incentives which individuals face when trying to satisfy their food needs. The macroeconomic environment is determined by certain crucial parameters and rules, often set by government, which affect the basis on which nations trade with one another, and the conditions for longer-term economic growth within the economy. These parameters can be classified into three broad areas: those affecting international resource flows, such as exchange rate regulations; those concerned with the monetary regime, such as the rate of interest: and those set by government to finance its own operation, fiscal mechanisms such as taxation and public expenditure levels. These parameters and policy options may well have as much, or more effect, on food security as policies aimed specifically at the food and agricultural sectors, yet the links between the macroeconomy and food security are often not well understood. Even where they are. the longer term objectives of achieving more permanent food security for all citizens and the short- term issue of protecting existing levels of food security often has to take second or third place to what are seen as more immediate concerns of controlling a balance of payments crisis or tackling high levels of inflation. However, these different objectives need not always be incompatible. Governments can make choices between alternative strategies for achieving economic growth in ways which are sustainable, some of which may be more beneficial to their most vulnerable citizens than others. If major policy decisions have to be made in ways which have a negative impact on those who are already food insecure, then there may be ways of offsetting that damage by implementing specially designed and targeted welfare programmes. To do this, there must be a clear understanding of how macroeconomic policy affects those suffering from food insecurity, based on a well developed analysis of policy linkages for the specific country concerned. The general nature and direction of the linkages concerned will conform to a broad pattern for all countries, but the precise interpretation and implications will vary according to elements such as the degree of monetisation in the economy, the nature of international markets for the commodities produced in the national economy, the degree of urbanisation, the capacity of state administration and the overall philosophy of the government in power. What determines the choice of economic policy followed by government? Most textbooks on economic policy characterise governments as having one overriding policy objective, to maximise the welfare of its citizens. This would typically involve aiming for stable growth levels, through such intermediary objectives as low inflation rates, sustainable budgets and balance of payments, low unemployment and high levels of investment. This view of - 108-