Chapter 2 This section has examined recent trends in the world food economy, and ways in which food consumption in particular shows systematic patterns and variation which can be used to predict likely changes in demand. These economic forces do not work themselves out in a vacuum. The next section looks at the policy objectives which may determine the social, / institutional and regulatory environment within which food security has to be achieved. 3. Direct Measures of Nutritional Status The measurements which have been discussed so far are measurements of intake and availability. They are useful in trying to describe the economic and social factors which lead to food insecurity. However, to identify the most vulnerable members of society measurements of outcome have to be employed. The most common of these are direct measures of physical size and well-being. 3.1 Anthropometric measures Anthropometric indicators, which are usually based on estimates of the total mass of body tissues, such as weight or arm circumference, are commonly accepted measures of the nutritional well-being of an individual. Unlike other measurements which have been discussed, these can only be measured at the individual level, not at household level. They can however be aggregated to give information about a specific population. In one sense, they are the ultimate outcome indicators of food system of a country, but as was shown in Figure 1 they are affected by both food and non-food elements such as illness and parasitic disease, and have to be interpreted with care. Their significance will be discussed in the next section. Anthropometric measurements are most commonly taken on young children. This is for a number of reasons. They are often seen to be amongst the most vulnerable members of society and therefore their nutritional status is a more sensitive indicator of well-being than that of adults. Certainly very young children who have relatively large energy requirements for growth, show the effects of low energy intakes more clearly than adults, who may adapt to low intakes by reducing activity levels. Until recently, there has been more information to help the interpretation of anthropometric data in children, in terms being able to associate low measurements with an increased risk of morbidity and death. However, there are indicators of adult nutrition which are quite sensitive to nutritional deprivation. The incidence of low-birth weight babies is clearly linked to maternal malnutrition. The Body Mass Index (BMI) is increasingly used as an indicator of adult nutrition in developing countries as well as industrialized nations. (This is described in more detail later in this section). The most commonly used anthropometric indicators in children are weight-for-age, height- for-age, weight-for-height and mid-upper arm circumference. In all cases, measurements are taken and compared to reference standards, the mean or median values of body dimensions in a well fed and cared for population. As with nutrient intakes, there is a certain distribution of weights in a well-fed population for genetic reasons, and cut-off points are determined on the basis of this distribution. Thus if a child is less than 2 standard deviations