Western and Central Africa-In contrast to the highly regulated maize markets of eastern and southern Africa, maize markets elsewhere in Africa are rarely subject to government control. Few governments in western and central Africa attempt to partici- pate directly in maize marketing activities, and official maize prices, if even announced, are rarely en- forced. The difference in govern- ment intervention reflects the fact that maize, which is generally not a primary food in western and central Africa, has relatively less political and economic importance in that region than in eastern and southern Africa. The interesting question, of course, is whether differing levels of gov- ernment participation have any appreciable effect on market per- formance. If proponents of an active role for government are correct, it should be possible to discern problems in the largely unregulated maize markets of western and central Africa. However, market performance is not always easy to evaluate. Numerous studies have sought to determine if maize mar- kets in western and central Africa are economically efficient. In efficient markets, price differences from one location to another ap- proximately equal transportation costs, and price differences from one season to another approxi- mately equal storage costs. Price spreads can also be expected to include normal profits earned by intermediaries on their investment capital, as well as reasonable compensation for risk. If transpor- tation and storage costs, profits, and/or risk premiums are excessive, a market may be inefficient. There is considerable evidence that marketing margins for maize in western and central Africa are generally compatible with levels that would prevail in competitive markets. The differences between producer prices and retail prices are relatively large because of the high real costs of marketing maize, not because intermediaries wield excessive power that allows them to operate inefficiently or to earn inflated profits. Williams and Oludimu (1986) found that the average 32% marketing margin for shelled maize in Ondo State, Nigeria, was reasonable given the high cost of capital and transport. Margins also were not found to be excessive in northern Nigeria (Hays and McCoy 1977; Delgado 1985) and in Ghana (Southworth et al. 1979). Another determinant of the effi- ciency of maize markets is spatial integration, which depends on such factors as the regional stability of production on the one hand, and transportation infrastructure, access to information, and availabil- ity of credit on the other hand. If regional maize production varies considerably from year to year, flows of marketed grain are likely to change directions unpredictably, and spatial integration is likely to be poor. However, if production is reasonably stable from one region to another, spatial integration can be expected to improve over time as infrastructure improves and as production increases (allowing intermediaries to capture econo- mies of scale in transportation and storage). However, it is often difficult to establish these relation- ships empirically. Jones (1984) reviewed several studies and concluded that spatial market integration in western Africa frequently is poor because deficien- cies in transportation, information, and cash availability may seriously impede efficiency. Extreme price variability from one season to another is sometimes regarded as a sign of poor market performance. Judged by this criterion, maize markets in western and central Africa appear to per- form poorly, since seasonal price differences are particularly large for maize (see Figure 12 for an example from Senegal). Southworth et al. (1979) observed 100% vari- ations in Ghana, and a recent IITA survey done in northern Nigeria found maize prices to be 66% higher during the hungry period (the time just before new crops are harvested, when reserves from previous crops are low or ex- hausted) than after harvest. How- ever, seasonal price fluctuations of these magnitudes do not necessar- ily indicate poor market perform- ance, since average storage losses of maize are believed to be as high as 30-40% in many areas. On the whole, it is difficult to say whether the largely unregulated maize markets in western and central Africa perform better or worse than the highly regulated markets in eastern and southern Africa. Clearly, the economic and political costs of market instability are higher in eastern and southern Africa because maize is so impor- tant there. Whereas most consum- ers in western and central Africa can substitute other staples (millet, sorghum, rice, roots and tubers) for maize when supplies are short, consumers throughout large parts of eastern and southern Africa do not have easy access to substitutes. For this reason, government efforts to stabilize maize supplies and prices in eastern and southern Africa, while costly, are seen as politically necessary. International Trade International trade in maize in sub- Saharan Africa occurs mostly between neighboring countries. In normal years, only limited quanti- ties of maize are imported from