by farmers for stock feed and seed, and a rather lower proportion for other territories.
Since we do not predict a significant change in the structure of this industry, we assume
that these ratios will remain constant. It will be noted that by 1975 British Guiana should
be able to supply the needs of the importing territories and have about 125 million pounds
left for export elsewhere. The other territories at present import negligible quantities
of rice, mainly packaged rice from outside the region; but the steps which are being
taken to improve the quality of British Guiana rice may reduce this even further.


Bananas
 For bananas, we have not been able to consider quantities available for export purely
as a surplus after home demand has been met. The banana industry is geared to the ex-
port trade and most bananas above a certain size are made available for export. The
supply on the local market depends largely on the proportion of rejects, and the greater
the number of bananas grown for export the greater will be the supply on the local market.
We have therefore projected total supply and export supply on the one hand, and indepen-
dently have projected local demand. If the residual between total production and export
production falls short of or exceeds the projected demand we expect a price adjustment
to follow. We have shown the deficiency or surplus in Table 22c. It will be noted that in
Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago a significant deficiency is projected after 1965. This
would indicate a tendency for increased prices on the local market. In Trinidad and
Tobago by 1970, we predict local demand actually exceeding total production. If exports
continue, this would lead to a considerable increase in the local price of the product or,
alternatively, Trinidad and Tobago might import substandard bananas from the Windward
Islands for domestic use. An alternative assumption is that local price increases are
sufficient to put Trinidad and Tobago out of the export market and make her a domestic
supplier only. British Guiana is not at present a banana exporter, but plans are well ad-
vanced to introduce an export business to that territory, and our projections are based on
the assumption that she will be an exporter by 1965.


Citrus
 For citrus, although exporting is one of the main objectives of production, the local
 market is sufficiently strong for amounts available for export to be considered more in
 the nature of a surplus after local needs have been met. The main exporters are Jamaica,
 Trinidad and Tobago and Dominica; other territories produce mainly for domestic use.
 All the export figures in Table 22d are expressed in fresh fruit equivalents, since gross
 weights of tinned exported products would be misleading, and data on net weights are not
 available. Canned produce is exported from Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica, and lime
 juice in barrels is exported from Dominica. Fresh fruit is exported also, but in Trinidad
 and Tobago and Jamaica, a greater part of the crop goes to processing than to export of
 fresh fruit.


 Coffee, cocoa and tobacco
 No estimates were made of demand for coffee, cocoa and tobacco products. The first
 two crops are not important, and for tobacco the budgetary data is thoroughly unreliable.
 Some projections of amounts likely to be used for local consumption were however made