In the islands of Grenada, St. Vincent and St. Lucia, we have predicted some increase
in tourism. St. Lucia appears to offer the most promise for this industry, but Grenada
is probably the most advanced at the moment and there are already several tourist type
hotels there. The Grenadines, a small string of islands between Grenada and St. Vincent,
offer almost unlimited tourist potential and some developments may well occur there
during the period with which we are concerned. One of the limiting factors in the Wind-
ward Islands has been inferior airports and air services. Both Barbados and Antigua
have international airports, and it is easy to see that tourism in both islands has benefited
from this. Dominica is an island of rugged grandeur, but owing to the lack of beaches
and areas suitable for water sports, it appears that tourism will develop there on a rather
more limited scale than in the other three Windward islands.


Conclusion
 Our projections for all these islands are thus based on the assumption that the federa-
tion of the Leeward Islands, the Windward Islands and Barbados will materialise. 2/
Following this we expect a small expansion in domestic agriculture and a rather greater
expansion in domestic industries and services. We except services and construction in
particular to be affected by a predicted expansion of tourism. Regarding the export sec-
tors, we find that in the Windward Islands there is some scope for developing more bana-
nas, cocoa, and probably other fruit crops; at the moment they probably have more un-
exploited resources than other West Indian islands. We do not expect a very spectacular
increase in the export sectors of those islands that specialise in sugar production.

 The predicted growth of the respective economies, which serves to illustrate the points
made above, is shown in Table 2. 4. i.

 Table 2.4. i

Leeward Islands, Windward Islands, and Barbados: Predicted growth indicators, 1960 base,
 1965, 1970, and 1975

 Area 1960 1965 1970 1975
 Indices

Barbados 100 116 147 201
Antigua 100 138 162 174
St. Kitts-Nevis-Anguilla 100 131 157 175
Montserrat 100 111 115 118
Grenada 100 122 151 174
St. Lucia 100 129 152 181
St. Vincent 100 121 139 166
Dominica 100 123 135 151

The Leeward Islands, the Windward Islands
 and Barbados 100 122 149 183
2/ There appears to be some likelihood that Grenada will join in a unitary state with Trinidad
 and Tobago. For the present we have included Grenada with the other smaller islands.