Weather likewise affected the output of the citrus. However, as a result of the citrus
 agreement negotiated between the West Indies citrus producing territories and the United
 Kingdom Government, it is confidently expected that citrus production will increase sig-
 nificantly during the next few years. Exports of fresh grapefruit may decline because
 more emphasis might be placed by the Citrus Growers Cooperative on exporting canned
 grapefruit segments rather than the fresh fruit. The segment plant commenced produc-
 tion in 1962 and it is not yet possible to determine what degree of diversification would
 result.

 Assuming that the drought will not continue, it is expected that the output of the above
 products will be as follows:


 Commodity 1965 1970 1975

 Million pounds

 Grapefruit 142 168 192
 Oranges 46 74 84
 Cocoa 21 24 30
 Coffee 8 11 13


 Bananas are not now a major export crop; in 1960, exports totalling 9 million pounds
were valued at $0.5 million. This crop, however, has great potentialities in Tobago.

 Minor export crops, such as tonca beans and rubber, are not expected to increase ap-
preciably.

 It is not expected that the acreage under sugar cane cultivation will be increased to any
great extent. There will most probably be a reduction in the acreage cultivated by estates
and an increase in that planted by farmers. However, the position might change if the
island receives a substantial United States quota.

 For further discussion of considerations influencing exports of agricultural and domes-
tic food crops see part four of this report.

 Quarrying is expected to grow to keep pace with the building programme. However,
some of the limiting factors are inadequate distribution and the lack of efficient capital
equipment.

 The projections for this sector are as follows:

 1959 1965 1970 1975
Index 100 154 194 232