Part Two


 GROWTH OF THE ECONOMIES



 Chapter 1

TWO PROJECTIONS OF THE POPULATION OF THE WEST INDIES
 BETWEEN 1965 AND 1975


 In April 1960, a population census was taken throughout the West Indies. Since fertili-
ty and mortality tables from which more scientific projections could be made are not
available, we propose to offer two very simple projections as to the probable levels of the
population of the West Indies between 1965 and 1975. It cannot, however, be too strongly
stressed that the projections offered in this paper are at best highly provisional and are
not intended to be used as more than provisional first estimates.

 According to the 1946 census, the population of the West Indies in 1946 was 2,776,056.
The census taken on 7th April, 1960, showed that the population of the area had increased
to 3,669,528, an absolute increase of 893,472 in 14 years or an intercensal increase of
32.18%.

 The individual breakdown of these two census figures is shown in Table 2. 1. i.

 Table 2. 1. i


 Census population,by territories, in 1946 and 1960

 Census
 Territory 196
 1946 1960

 Barbados 192,800 232,085
 Jamaica 1/ 1,295,476 1,613,148
 Trinidad and Tobago 557,970 827,957
 Windward Islands 251,776 314,649
 Leeward Islands 102,333 122,920
 British Guiana 2/ 375,701 558,769

 Total 2,776,056 3,669,528

 1/ Estimated as at 31st March, 1946, by the Department of
Statistics. Jamaica was the only one of the above territories
which did not take a census in 1946. Her census taken on
4th January, 1943, recorded Jamaica's population at 1,237,063.
 2/ Including Amerindians.