migration and presents figures which are based purely on natural growth rates. The re-
sults from this projection are that the population totals 3,669,528 in 1960, 4,186,850 in
1965, 4,778,300 in 1970 and 5,451,610 in 1975.

 In our projections of demand we have utilised the first population projections, which
estimates approximately a continuation of the present trend in population growth. The
territorial breakdown of population for this projection is shown in Table 1.2. i.

 Jamaica. We briefly examined the economic growth of Jamaica between 1950 and 1960
and concluded that growth had been at an unusually high rate. This high rate was mainly
a result of the emergence and development of the bauxite alumina industries and is un-
likely to continue. In spite of the high rate of growth in the economy as a whole, agri-
cultural sectors showed only a moderate rate of growth in the past decade and we consider
that there will be little change in growth rates of the agricultural sectors. We predict
that the share of agricultural sectors will decrease from 16.3 % of the gross domestic
product in 1958 to 12.3 % in 1975 (Table 3b).

 The average growth rate at constant factor cost was 8.8 % per annum in real value for
the period 1954-59. We are unable to predict so high a growth rate for the future but
allowing also for population change we have projected a real per capital annual growth
rate of 3.7% between 1958 and 1965, 3.5% between 1965 and 1970 and 2.8%between 1970
and 1975. Totals of gross domestic product and national income are shown in Table 1. 2. ii.

 Trinidad and Tobago. In current prices the gross domestic product (GDP) increased
by 156 % between 1951 and 1959. During this period agriculture declined in importance
from 18.0 % of the GDP to 12.5 % of the GDP (excluding sugar manufacturing).

 In Trinidad and Tobago expansion of the economy has been more dependent on invest-
ment in the oil industry than on any other single factor. Although some slowing down in
this investment is predicted, it is felt that in general the economy of Trinidad and Tobago
will continue to grow at rates approximating those of the past decade and a growth of
135% is predicted between 1959 and 1975. The aggregates are shown in Table 1.2. ii.

 Leeward Islands, Windward Islands and Barbados. In this territory we predict a very
slightly greater rate of growth than that which we believe has prevailed in the past decade
(although details are not available of past growth rates for all territories). This predic-
tion arises partly from the fact that this territory is at a lower stage of development than
other territories and partly from the result of an economic union which is expected to take
place between these territories. The growth rate that we have predicted works out at
about 2.8% per annum at constant prices between 1960 and 1975. We expect a decline in
the importance of agriculture from about 42 % in 1960 to about 29 % of gross domestic
product in 1975. This results from the expected growth of tourism and allied services
and some manufacturing mainly in Barbados. The aggregates are shown in Table 1.2. ii.

 British Guiana. Although the national income (in current prices) doubled between 1950
and 1960, there was virtual stagnation in the pe-iods 1954-55 and 1957-59, and the spec-
tacular growth in 1956-57 and 1959-60 was due mainly to expansion in the bauxite industry.
Very few new industries were introduced and the structure of the economy, with its heavy
dependence on sugar and bauxite, altered little in the 1950's. Little change in economic