Chapter 2


 SUMMARY OF RESULTS

The long term growth of the economy
 Population. Two simple projections are offered as provisional estimates pending final
fertility and mortality tables from the 1960 census.

 At the 1946 census the population of the West Indies territories under review was
2,776,056; in 1960, according to the census of April 1960, it was 3,669,528, an increase
of 32.18 %.

 The first projection was based on the fitting of an exponential function to the data for
1946 and 1960. A growth rate of 1.994 % per annum was derived. This projection gave
total population figures for the West Indies as a whole of 3,669,528 in 1960, 4,054,900 in
1965, 4,480,100 in 1970 and 4,949,800 in 1975. 1/ The results by territories are shown in
Table 1.2. i.


 Table 1.2. i

 Estimates by territories of population used in this survey, 1960 and projections

 Territory 1960 1965 1970 1975

Jamaica 1,613,148 1,744,400 1,886,500 2,040,100
Trinidad and Tobago 827,957 953,290 1,097,600 1,263,800
Leeward Islands,
Windward Islands and
 Barbados 669,654 719,610 774,010 832,130
British Guiana 558,769 646,530 774,400 858,340

 Total 3,669,528 4,063,830 4,502,510 4,994,370


 The first projection assumes that the rate of migration will approximate that during
1946-60; a second projection is presented which extracts from the data the influence of

1/ The small discrepancy found between these totals and those in Table 1.2. i is due to
 approximation in the aggregation and the territorial rates.