Total shipping point revenues for peppers are expected to decline $37.8 million in the
expected impacts scenario with Florida suffering a $134.8 million loss in shipping point
revenues (Table 6). Shipping point revenues in Texas and Mexico are expected to
increase $33.3 million and $63.7 million, respectively. Even the low impacts scenario
results in significant losses to Florida producers with shipping point revenues declining
$119.9 million and Texas and Mexico shipping point revenues increasing $32.4 million
and $55.0 million, respectively.
 Cucumbers. Cucumber acreage in Palm Beach County is also significantly
affected by the methyl bromide ban. Acres of cucumbers planted in Palm Beach County
declines from 7,276 acres to 3,066 acres under the expected impacts scenario (Table 3).
Southwest Florida increases acres of cucumbers from 384 acres to 3,413 acres under the
expected impacts scenario. Total production of cucumbers declines by 6.1 % (Table 4)
and wholesale prices increase 1.4 % (Table 5). Total revenues are expected to decline
$4.4 million with Florida suffering a $6.2 million loss in shipping point revenues and
Mexico gaining $1.8 million in shipping point revenues (Table 6).
 Squash. Planted acres of squash actually increase in all areas under the methyl
.bromide ban. Double cropping of squash increases in Southwest Florida and single crop
squash production increases in Dade County and in Mexico. The increase in production
in Southwest Florida is small and is due to the increased competitiveness of double
cropped squash with tomatoes. Because tomatoes are impacted in Dade County and Palm
Beach County, tomato production in Southwest Florida increases to take advantage of the
opportunities created by the void left by Dade and Palm Beach Counties. Production of
tomatoes with squash offers greater opportunities, increasing the acres devoted to this
cropping system by 585 acres (Table 3). This increase is not enough to offset the decrease
in productivity lost in this producing area, resulting in less total production of squash in
Southwest Florida. Lower production in Southwest Florida offers opportunities to those
in Dade County and in Mexico who produce without methyl bromide and are not
impacted by a methyl bromide ban. The results show increases in acreage in all three
producing areas. However, production actually declines in Southwest Florida and
increases in Dade County and in Mexico, with a loss of 2.4 % across all areas (Table 4).
Total shipping point revenues decline by $134,700 in the expected impacts scenario and
by $1.1 million in the high impacts scenario (Table 6). The low impacts scenario results
in an insignificant increase in shipping point revenue.
 Eggplant. A methyl bromide ban will have its most significant impact in relative
terms on eggplant production. Planted acres of eggplant in Florida are expected to decline
64 % with existing technologies, but acreage in Mexico is expected to increase 73 %,
offsetting most of the loss in Florida so that total acreage declines only 6 % (Table 3).
Total production of eggplant in all areas is expected to decline 20.3 % (Table 4) and
wholesale prices are expected to increase 4.6 % (Table 5). Total shipping point revenues
are expected to decline $9.9 million with Florida suffering a $27.7 million loss and
Mexico gaining $17.8 million (Table 6).
 Watermelons. Watermelons grown as a second crop following tomatoes using
methyl bromide are expected to decline slightly in Florida. Watermelon production is
expected to stop in West Central Florida and all acreage for the early spring market is
expected to be grown in Southwest Florida. This shift results in the loss in profitability of
tomatoes grown as a first crop because of lost productivity. Total production of