The southeast and northeast markets would be the markets most adversely affected as

average prices for the selected products are expected to rise 9.2 and 9.1 percent, respectively,

while the midwest and west wholesale markets expect average price increases of 7.6 and 5.5

percent, respectively (Table 5.7).


Table 5.7. The percentage increase in wholesale prices in regional markets resulting from
 a ban on methyl bromide, by commodity and market, and averages.
 New York City Chicago Atlanta Los Angeles Average'
 Tomatoes 4.4 3.1 4.5 3.1 3.8
 Peppers 5.1 4.0 6.7 0.3 4.0
 Cucumbers 10.8 9.7 11.7 0.2 8.1
 Squash 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.9
 Eggplant 12.0 5.5 12.8 3.2 8.4
 Strawberries 18.8 19.2 14.5 21.5 18.5
 Watermelon 11.4 11.3 12.9 9.1 11.2
 Average 9.1 7.6 9.2 5.5 7.8

 SComputed by taking the simple average price change across the four markets.
 b Computed by taking the simple average price change across the seven commodities.



 The Impact of a Methyl Bromide Ban on the Florida Citrus Industry

 Quantitative analysis of a methyl bromide ban is conducted separately for grapefruit,

oranges, and tangerines. First, consider grapefruit. A model, originally developed by Pana

(1991), was utilized for the analysis. The model is a spatial equilibrium model which

incorporates both fresh and processed utilization of grapefruit for a mathematical presentation

of the grapefruit model, see Appendix F. It is assumed that a ban on methyl bromide would

result in an end to the post harvest fumigation of citrus in Florida. As noted above, the fruit