Table 1.--Estimated
 1981-2000


cost per peak kilowatt of photovoltaic systems


 Cost scenario
Year I II III

1980 10,750.00 10,750.00 10,750.00
1981 8,140.13 10,246.73 9,519.75
1982 6,163.89 9,767.02 8,430.29
1983 4,667.43 9,309.77 7,465.52
1984 3,534.28 8,873.93 6,611.15

1985 2,676.24 8,458.49 5,854.55
1986 2,026.50 8,062.50 5,184.55
1987 1,552.03 4,972.36 4,591.22
1988 1,494.00 4,640.62 4,065.80
1989 1,438.14 4,331.01 3,600.50

1990 1,384.36 4,042.06 3,188.45
1991 1,332.60 3,772.38 2,823.56
1992 1,282.78 3,520.70 2,500.43
1993 1,234.81 3,285.81 2,214.27
1994 1,188.64 3,066.59 1,960.87

1995 1,144.20 2,861.99 1,736.46
1996 1,101.42 2,671.05 1,537.74
1997 1,060.24 2,492.85 1,361.76
1998 1,020.59 2,326.53 1,205.92
1999 982.43 2,171.31 1,067.91
2000 945.70 2,062.50 945.70


Costs are expressed in 1980 dollars.