III. Acquisition versus Borrowing Information is an intermediate good, used as an input in the researcher's production process. Hence, demand patterns, combined with transactions costs, will lead libraries to acquire certain materials and not acquire others. The pattern of acquisition should follow from the specialized research talent employed by the university. The intensity of usage of a particular item may lead the library to acquire the publication instead of borrowing it from another library. Another acquisition issue that must be considered if there is a lack of cooperative collection effort is the uncertainty factor. After acquiring the high demand, instructional level materials that they all need for their user community, libraries face the thorny question, "Do we really want to acquire this research-oriented, lower demand material, if..." The "big if" is: if the individual library does not acquire the item, can they borrow the item from another library if a user actually does appear, or will no one acquire the item? This is a difficult decision. In economic terms, it means {1 }estimating the probability the item will be requested in the future (or number of future requests), {2}estimating the probabilities that another library will acquire, or that the library can buy the item on the OP market at that time, versus no one acquires, {3 }figuring the explicit and implicit costs under each of the above scenarios, then {4} calculating an "expected", or weighted average, cost of not acquiring the item, then comparing that to the costs associated with upfront acquisition. In reality, librarians "guesstimate" or apply some rule of thumb to the acquisition decision, but their thought process probably contains elements of the above analysis. Either way, one thing stands out: the higher perceived local demand for the item, the more likely that item will be acquired even though the item is also likely to be acquired by another library. Conversely, even if the probability of no one else acquiring the item is high and the costs associated with that scenario are very high, if local demand is predicted to be very low, that item may not be acquired. As a result, collections across libraries begin to look similar, not just in the basic instructional material, but in their collection of lower level research material as well. There may be "somewhat specialized" library collections oriented towards faculty concentrations, but because libraries in a non-cooperative environment are "hedging their bets" by acquiring a more diverse research collection, monies are diverted from in depth acquisitions in one area. To the extent that cooperation removes the uncertainty aspect from marginal items, libraries can rest assured that they can forego acquisition and still have access via interlibrary loans. This just leaves the acquisition decision contingent on local demand, the cost of borrowing, and the cooperative collection development agreement. Determining what items would be acquired or not acquired under non-cooperation is an important component of this analysis. By predicting what publications would not be acquired, we can begin to construct costs of non-acquisition for the user community. Acquisition entails the cost of the item, as well as overhead and management costs, and opportunity costs reflecting alternative uses for the money spent. Borrowing entails delivery costs, processing costs for both libraries involved, as well as time costs for the ultimate user. When the costs of acquisition are