The Quest for Increased Food Production in the Caribbean Mokiwa A. Kigoda Research Assistant Department of Agricultural Economics University of Missouri, Columbia, MO The issue of economic incentives and improved technology for increasing small farmers' food production has dominated the small farming systems in the developing world. However, the agricultural policies for small farmers en- counter priority problems in the form of major constraints on food production. The question is either to: (1) concentrate on increased output prices and input subsidies, or (2) replace crude tool technology (hand hoe, bush machete, etc.) with bottleneck-breaking technology in order to increase small farmers' food production. Recommendations favor increased output prices to increase food production. In labor surplus, hand hoe technology- Melvin G. Blase Professor oriented economies, prices paid to food producers affect out- put up to a level dictated by physical and technical factors. Crude tool technology creates physical constraints upon the supply of food and limits the production capacity. A study using linear programming indicated little or no ad- ditional food production is likely to be forthcoming due to labor shortages for key activities during crop year, e.g., weeding, harvesting, etc. In order to obtain sustained in- creases in food production, it is necessary to introduce bottle- neck-breaking technology that performs better than crude tool technology now being used. This should precede the other policies to ensure increased levels of food production. The need to increase food production in the Caribbean countries is obvious. The area has an average annual per capital food import bill of US$200 and only 56% of the population receives the inter- nationally recommended minimum daily level of protein intake. In 1980 the regional food imports were estimated at US$700 million (Courier, 1983). Clearly, inadequate food production is a major problem for the area. The question faced by many developing regions, including this one, is how to effectively increase food output. Some economists advocate increasing prices to provide farmers with additional incentives. Others maintain that the most efficient procedure is to provide subsidies to increase the use of purchased inputs. Still other authorities contend that research must be undertaken to identify more efficient methods of production. Suffice it to say, the alter- natives are numerous. The choice among them is not obvious. Farming Systems in Relation to Government Agricultural Policies The so-called "farming systems" approach is basically oriented to the needs of small, peasant farmers. The social and economic environment of small, peasant farmers is characterized by insuffi- cient resources at their command, i.e., a limited supply of land, capital and technical knowledge. Frequently they are trapped in a circle of poverty. Further, malnutrition, hunger and-at times-famine characterize their circumstances. Different sets of agricultural policies have been formulated in an attempt to help small farmers increase their level of food crop production. However, these policies must deal with the problem of priorities, i.e., output price supports versus input subsidies versus improved technology. 182 A Methodological Approach to the Problem A study, representative of Caribbean traditional farming con- ditions, undertaken with actual data from an African country, was done to determine the impact of increased producer prices, reduced input costs, and improved technology on increasing food crop production from the small farm agricultural sector (Kigoda, 1984). A linear programming model of an entire region was used on a comparative basis between the existing production conditions and improved production conditions. Existing production condi- tions were used as a proxy for traditional agriculture commonly used by peasant producers. Traditional agricultural conditions distinguish themselves from improved ones in the sense that the latter utilizes a wide range of inputs, many of which are highly complementary to each other. These include not only conven- tional inputs such as land, labor and certain forms of capital but also other complementary inputs less conventionally noted by agricultural economists and policy makers. These are largely of a technical, educational and institutional sort (Mellor, 1962). Im- proved production conditions in the study, therefore, represented technology that had been determined to be physical- ly possible in research trials for the region under study. It was assumed to be profitable, but as yet had not been adapted by food producers. The analysis was designed to determine: 1. How efficiently the region used resources given the existing conditions, and 2. Whether existing production resources can produce more output in response to the policy alternative considered, assuming farmers are profit maximizers. Parametric programming, a post optimal analysis, was used to see the impact of increased prices above the current price levels paid to small food producers. The analysis also was used to see the impact of reduced input costs (a subsidy) on increasing food pro- duction. VOL. XX-PROCEEDINGS of the CARIBBEAN FOOD CROPS SOCIETY