An alternative for cane farmers proved problematic for two reasons. First, they had little experience with other crops after generations of monocultural sugar production, and many had neither the capital to convert to new crops nor reliable markets for such crops. Second, demand for land for residential uses was so great that much of their land would have been sold for urban uses if the farmers did not have an alternative replacement of their in- come loss from the extinct cane industry. Even though it was recommended that "sugar be replaced by other agricultural enter- prises," and that ". .. every possible step be taken to retain, and reconstruct, the agriculture of St. Croix, provided only that the reconstructed agricultural industry must prove itself profitable" (Blaut et al., 1965), the abandonment of sugar led to a rapid and irreversible change from a predominantly rural, agricultural land- scape to an urbanized or suburbanized one. That the number of farms decreased from 501 in 1960 to 466 in 1970 (Table 1), and produced the largest percent change of 54.5% in the study period, and farm acreage dropped from 35,539 to 20,470 acres, a change of 48.2%, are clear indicators that the stage may have been set for an irrevocable decline. The unprecedented growth of tourism in the 1960s served to impact on agriculture in at least three ways. It created a huge de- mand for labor, it induced considerable growth in population, and it exerted pressure on the land resource. As the number of tourist facilities increased to accommodate the rising tide of tourists, economic opportunities multiplied and attracted the seasonally employed sugar workers and the unemployed. Given the social stigma that clings tenaciously to farm work throughout the region, many a farm laborer willingly traded his overalls for a bellboy's garb. Not only was income from sugar associated with low-wage employment tourism was considered prosperous. This led one government official to observe that "income from tourism over the past five years has more than tripled the combined returns from rum and raw sugar production" (Economic Policy Council, 1979). The construction industry, spurred by the rising need to accommodate tourists, contributed to the decline of agriculture in two ways. In the first place, it too created its own demand for labor, which served to entice labor from farming. Secondly, the demand was met primarily by immigrant labor. The great influx of these workers increased the need for housing so acutely that there was little alternative but to encroach on agricultural land. This was the case in St. Thomas where public housing complexes and an 18-hole golf course and condominium complex speeded the transition from rural to urban uses. In St. Croix, two golf courses had the same effect. Thus the suburbanization that Blaut et al. (1965) advised against became a reality. In lamenting the epitome of this process, one report noted that since the early 1960's, agricultural land on St. Thomas had dwindled to a mere 1,448 acres. It continued: "The encroachment of residential ... development has brought this about and is worsening the situa- tion The potentials for any large-scale development on St. Thomas are very low" (Virgin Islands Planning Office, 1977). In view of the limited land resource in the Virgin Islands, it is fair to say that any plan for agriculture would recognize that one is dealing with an irreplaceable natural resource that is not only scarce but expensive. And that once agrarian land is committed to an alternative use, it is extremely improbable that it will ever be reconverted to productive agrarian use. This is perhaps most likely to be so for land that is used for commercial or industrial uses. While the major inroads into agrarian land use came from tourist facilities and commercial establishments on St. Thomas and St. John, two major industrial complexes characterized the diminution in St. Croix. Despite the fact that some 18,689 acres are in agricultural use there (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1982), and it still has potential for expansion of farming activities, grave concerns are being expressed about future development. Trends indicate that "St. Croix is showing signs of a pre-industrialization mood, and that agricultural development may fall off through the leasing or sale of large tracts to industrial companies ((Virgin Islands Planning Office, 1977). In St. Thomas, both commercial and business usage exceed the zoned acreage, and in St. Croix, the increasing industrial base-with a possible additional oil refinery -will necessitate a substantial increase in consumption of the once highly productive agricultural land. Consensus for this view is summarized in this statement: "It is government policy which eventually determines where emphasis should be placed. In the Virgin Islands today business and commercial developments are top-ranking with industrial [sic] or even above. Agriculture, on the other hand, is ranked lowest in priority" (Virgin Islands Planning Office, 1977). An additional set of factors which help to explain the decline of agriculture is what McElroy refers to as the "complex of both internal and external forces" (1979). His delineation includes the traditional high volume export-import orientation embedded in the local economy, together with a combination of relative afflu- ence, urbanization and supermarket tastes. The territorial status of the Virgin Islands and its geographic proximity provide relatively easy access to, and penetration by, a volume of comparatively low-cost suppliers of a variety of foodstuffs, includ- ing staple items like eggs, chicken, milk, pork, beef and their derivatives, as well as vegetables (fresh, refrigerated and tinned). Despite the fact that there is no commercial production of vegetables in the islands and 99% of the food consumed is im- ported (Department of Agriculture, 1980), a visiting trade mission found cause to express concern over the lack of consistent marketing practices ranging from quality control through regular delivery and distribution routines (Economic Policy Council, 1979). Even though an official agricultural policy document does not exist, there is little question that the impact of government action on agriculture in the territory has been considerable. It is also evi- dent, however, that there is no consistency in policy, for while one branch may proclaim the positive steps by the administration to promote agrarian development, another may at the same time deplore its apparent regressive actions. In reference to the economic policy which contributed to the alienation of prime agrarian tracts after 1966, to heavy industry and ". .. which indirectly spawned widespread suburban sprawl by sponsoring labor-intensive tourism, federal highway construc- tion and laissez-faire finance and realty practices .. .", McElroy (1979) called this an "anti-agricultural policy" that was responsi- ble for the ".. annual declines recorded in the number of farms in operation and in the amount of acreage under cultivation." While the Department of Agriculture (1980) stated that "the basic mission of agriculture is self-sufficiency in food production," the Economic Policy Council (1979) believed that "there is no chance of the Virgin Islands ever becoming self- sufficient in food." This latter is given credence by the Planning Office's belief that agriculture is lowest among government's priorities. Varying views of agriculture have been expressed as a "vogue- like preoccupation with self-sufficiency" (McElroy, 1979) and as a sector ". of our economy which manages to receive loving remarks, supportive statements and other types of accolades, but little of the money, and less and less active interest on the part of the general populace. Everyone wants the output of the farms, but little of the work involved" (Economic Policy Council, 1979). The Department of Agriculture (1980) records that efforts to revitalize agriculture have intensified because of an increasing dependence on imported food, concerns over energy conservation and competing land use, the emergence of several back-to-the- land subcultures, and a realization that agriculture is an integral component of the territory's economic development. Yet there is an apparent contradiction in the kind of public evidence which PROCEEDINGS of the CARIBBEAN FOOD CROPS SOCIETY-VOL. XX 28